Earnings Preview | Vesper Brief

📅 Earnings Week Preview

October 19 – October 23, 2026 · Tuesday, October 13, 2026 — 06:00 PM CT

🤖 AI Earnings Risk Briefing

The Oct 19–23, 2026 slate is systemically important despite an empty macro calendar: 62 reporters are concentrated in Wednesday AMC, creating clustered gap risk that can transmit from single-name implied volatility into Nasdaq and S&P 500 factor moves. META and NFLX put Communication Services and megacap growth at the center of index contagion, while LRCX and IBM test the Enterprise Tech/AI capex and semiconductor-equipment narrative that has been a key driver of Nasdaq breadth. Consumer defensives PG and PM, plus AXP, CB and BX, provide a cross-check on household resilience, credit costs, insurance pricing and private-markets liquidity; GE, NEE and NEM add industrials, rates-sensitive utilities and gold-miner signals tied to real yields and risk hedging. With no scheduled macro catalysts, earnings guidance itself becomes the macro impulse: upside in AI infrastructure and stable consumer credit could compress volatility, whereas weak ad demand, softer enterprise budgets or rising loss provisions could trigger sector rotation, higher index implied vol and broader de-risking.

🌍 Macro Risk & Sector Impacts Briefing

No macro impact analysis available.

📅 Macro Calendar — Next Week

No major macro releases scheduled this week.

📊 Week at a Glance

Reporting

Large-Cap ($10B+)

High Vol (±6%+)

Macro Catalysts

🏢 Earnings Calendar — Coming Week

Event Risk Criteria: 🚨 Extreme (±9%+ Implied Move) · ⚠️ High (±6%+ Move or <50% Beat Rate) · 📋 Moderate (±3.5%–6% Move) · ✅ Low (<3.5% Move)

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Ticker	Name	Sector	When	EPS Est	Beat Rate	Expected Move	Event Risk
Monday Oct 19
FITB	Fifth Third Bancorp	Financial Services	AMC	$4.95	50%	±6.2%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.2% implied move
Tuesday Oct 20
EFX	Equifax, Inc.	Industrials	AMC	$9.92	100%	±10.7%	🚨 EXTREME ±10.7% implied move
NFLX	Netflix, Inc.	Communication Services	AMC	$3.80	50%	±7.2%	⚠️ HIGH ±7.2% implied move
ISRG	Intuitive Surgical, Inc.	Healthcare	AMC	$12.11	100%	±6.7%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.7% implied move
NOC	Northrop Grumman Corporat	Industrials	AMC	$30.40	100%	±6.7%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.7% implied move
MSCI	MSCI Inc.	Financial Services	AMC	$22.46	75%	±7.4%	⚠️ HIGH ±7.4% implied move
OMC	Omnicom Group Inc.	Communication Services	AMC	$11.61	50%	±6.7%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.7% implied move
KEY	KeyCorp	Financial Services	AMC	$2.15	100%	±6.2%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.2% implied move
GPC	Genuine Parts Company	Consumer Cyclical	AMC	$8.32	50%	±7.6%	⚠️ HIGH ±7.6% implied move
MLI	Mueller Industries, Inc.	Industrials	AMC	$4.65	50%	±7.3%	⚠️ HIGH ±7.3% implied move
HAS	Hasbro, Inc.	Consumer Cyclical	AMC	$6.51	100%	±6.8%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.8% implied move
PNR	Pentair plc.	Industrials	AMC	$5.24	75%	±8.7%	⚠️ HIGH ±8.7% implied move
GE	GE Aerospace	Industrials	AMC	$9.10	100%	±5.4%	📋 MODERATE ±5.4% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
CB	Chubb Limited	Financial Services	AMC	$29.26	100%	±4.7%	📋 MODERATE ±4.7% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
COF	Capital One Financial Cor	Financial Services	AMC	$24.09	50%	±5.1%	📋 MODERATE ±5.1% implied move
MMM	3M Company	Industrials	AMC	$9.82	100%	±5.0%	📋 MODERATE ±5.0% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
GM	General Motors Company	Consumer Cyclical	AMC	$15.11	100%	±5.9%	📋 MODERATE ±5.9% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
HAL	Halliburton Company	Energy	AMC	$2.90	100%	±5.5%	📋 MODERATE ±5.5% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
Wednesday Oct 21
MEDP	Medpace Holdings, Inc.	Healthcare	AMC	$19.32	100%	±13.9%	🚨 EXTREME ±13.9% implied move
GL	Globe Life Inc.	Financial Services	AMC	$16.51	25%	±6.2%	🚨 EXTREME ±6.2% implied move · 25% beat rate (unreliable)
LRCX	Lam Research Corporation	Technology	AMC	$11.77	100%	±8.2%	⚠️ HIGH ±8.2% implied move
IBM	International Business Ma	Technology	AMC	$13.15	75%	±6.3%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.3% implied move
DHR	Danaher Corporation	Healthcare	AMC	$9.30	100%	±6.5%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.5% implied move
ELV	Elevance Health, Inc.	Healthcare	AMC	$29.60	100%	±8.2%	⚠️ HIGH ±8.2% implied move
MCO	Moody's Corporation	Financial Services	AMC	$18.89	100%	±7.1%	⚠️ HIGH ±7.1% implied move
CCI	Crown Castle Inc.	Real Estate	AMC	$2.90	100%	±7.6%	⚠️ HIGH ±7.6% implied move
NTRS	Northern Trust Corporatio	Financial Services	AMC	$12.85	75%	±6.8%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.8% implied move
LUV	Southwest Airlines Compan	Industrials	AMC	$4.33	75%	±6.4%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.4% implied move
GGG	Graco Inc.	Industrials	AMC	$3.50	50%	±6.1%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.1% implied move
META	Meta Platforms, Inc.	Communication Services	AMC	$34.65	50%	±5.0%	📋 MODERATE ±5.0% implied move
PM	Philip Morris Internation	Consumer Defensive	AMC	$9.19	100%	±4.4%	📋 MODERATE ±4.4% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
ABT	Abbott Laboratories	Healthcare	AMC	$6.07	100%	±4.9%	📋 MODERATE ±4.9% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
NEE	NextEra Energy, Inc.	Utilities	AMC	$4.37	100%	±3.7%	📋 MODERATE ±3.7% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
CME	CME Group Inc.	Financial Services	AMC	$13.00	75%	±4.1%	📋 MODERATE ±4.1% implied move
CSX	CSX Corporation	Industrials	AMC	$2.28	50%	±4.4%	📋 MODERATE ±4.4% implied move
LVS	Las Vegas Sands Corp.	Consumer Cyclical	AMC	$3.48	75%	±4.8%	📋 MODERATE ±4.8% implied move
PKG	Packaging Corporation of	Consumer Cyclical	AMC	$13.56	50%	±4.9%	📋 MODERATE ±4.9% implied move
Thursday Oct 22
BE	Bloom Energy Corporation	Industrials	AMC	$4.93	100%	±10.1%	🚨 EXTREME ±10.1% implied move
FIX	Comfort Systems USA, Inc.	Industrials	AMC	$60.18	100%	±14.6%	🚨 EXTREME ±14.6% implied move
CRS	Carpenter Technology Corp	Industrials	AMC	$15.88	100%	±11.3%	🚨 EXTREME ±11.3% implied move
DECK	Deckers Outdoor Corporati	Consumer Cyclical	AMC	$8.35	100%	±9.8%	🚨 EXTREME ±9.8% implied move
MXL	MaxLinear, Inc	Technology	AMC	$2.61	100%	±24.2%	🚨 EXTREME ±24.2% implied move
ENVA	Enova International, Inc.	Financial Services	AMC	$20.95	100%	±10.7%	🚨 EXTREME ±10.7% implied move
NSC	Norfolk Southern Corporat	Industrials	AMC	$14.31	100%	±6.3%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.3% implied move
CBRE	CBRE Group Inc	Real Estate	AMC	$9.04	100%	±8.6%	⚠️ HIGH ±8.6% implied move
HBAN	Huntington Bancshares Inc	Financial Services	AMC	$1.76	75%	±7.1%	⚠️ HIGH ±7.1% implied move
DOV	Dover Corporation	Industrials	AMC	$11.63	100%	±6.4%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.4% implied move
DGX	Quest Diagnostics Incorpo	Healthcare	AMC	$12.03	100%	±6.6%	⚠️ HIGH ±6.6% implied move
BX	Blackstone Inc.	Financial Services	AMC	$7.41	100%	±5.3%	📋 MODERATE ±5.3% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
NEM	Newmont Corporation	Basic Materials	AMC	$10.00	100%	±5.3%	📋 MODERATE ±5.3% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
LMT	Lockheed Martin Corporati	Industrials	AMC	$32.64	75%	±4.0%	📋 MODERATE ±4.0% implied move
CMCSA	Comcast Corporation	Communication Services	AMC	$3.58	100%	±5.4%	📋 MODERATE ±5.4% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
HON	Honeywell International I	Industrials	AMC	$9.82	100%	±4.8%	📋 MODERATE ±4.8% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
NDAQ	Nasdaq, Inc.	Financial Services	AMC	$4.68	100%	±4.0%	📋 MODERATE ±4.0% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
PCG	Pacific Gas & Electric Co	Utilities	AMC	$1.80	75%	±5.4%	📋 MODERATE ±5.4% implied move
PHM	PulteGroup, Inc.	Consumer Cyclical	AMC	$10.84	50%	±4.2%	📋 MODERATE ±4.2% implied move
DOW	Dow Inc.	Basic Materials	AMC	$1.72	100%	±5.9%	📋 MODERATE ±5.9% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)
NVR	NVR, Inc.	Consumer Cyclical	AMC	$392.74	50%	—	📋 MODERATE No options straddle
ALLE	Allegion plc	Industrials	AMC	$9.79	50%	±5.7%	📋 MODERATE ±5.7% implied move
PG	Procter & Gamble Company	Consumer Defensive	AMC	$7.40	100%	±3.2%	✅ LOW ±3.2% implied move
Friday Oct 23
AXP	American Express Company	Financial Services	AMC	$20.16	75%	±4.3%	📋 MODERATE ±4.3% implied move
ITW	Illinois Tool Works Inc.	Industrials	AMC	$12.34	100%	±5.3%	📋 MODERATE ±5.3% implied move · 100% beat rate (consistent)