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📈 ETF Screen & Cross-Asset Overview
Daily systematic ETF Composite Scores, anomaly radar · 2026-10-13
Refiners and Brazil are quietly outrunning the tech tape, with CRAK's 26.75% three-month surge and EWZ's 13.47% one-month rally signaling a broadening of leadership beyond mega-cap growth.
CURRENT REGIME: GOLDILOCKS GROWTH EXPANSION
Macro Market & Capital Flow Radar
Risk Appetite: 65/100

Technology (+5.5% 1M) and broad equities (+3.0% 1M) lead without severe commodity pressure. Broad risk appetite remains elevated across high-beta and growth factors.

SPY: +3.0% 1M
QQQ: +5.5% 1M
XLE: +1.9% 1M
GLD: -3.2% 1M
XLI: -0.1% 1M
XLU: +1.3% 1M
⚡ Market Radar: Critical Daily Anomalies
🔥 Institutional Flow (RVOL ≥ 1.75x)
TAN TAN 5.52x RVOL +2.1% 1D
QCLN QCLN 2.71x RVOL +0.2% 1D
ITB ITB 2.42x RVOL +0.8% 1D
IHF IHF 1.8x RVOL +0.0% 1D
📉 Oversold Inflection Watch (RSI ≤ 32)
WGMI WGMI RSI 10 -15.7% 1W
BITQ BITQ RSI 14 -7.9% 1W
OZEM OZEM RSI 16 -4.0% 1W
XAR XAR RSI 21 -4.6% 1W
🏆 52-Week High Breakout Leaders
VUG VUG At 52W High +5.4% 1M
QUAL QUAL At 52W High +3.9% 1M
CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF At 52W High +3.6% 1M
JEPQ JPMorgan NASDAQ Equity P At 52W High +3.1% 1M
⚠️ Overbought Exhaustion Watch (RSI ≥ 70)
XRT XRT RSI 86 +1.3% 1M
XLE XLE RSI 79 +1.9% 1M
IBUY IBUY RSI 78 +1.0% 1M
XOP XOP RSI 76 +0.1% 1M
🎯 Highest-Scoring ETFs (Thematically Unique · Zero Overlap)
#1
CRAK VanEck Oil Refiners ETF
Energy, Midstream & Resources · Expense Ratio 0.61% · AUM $462M · Price $67.94
98
Composite Score
+4.0% 1W +3.6% 1M

CRAK carries the highest Composite Score in the coverage set at 97.5/100, backed by exceptional momentum: +26.75% over three months and +4.0% in the past week alone. In a Goldilocks regime where growth expands without severe commodity pressure, refining margins benefit from strong throughput demand and stable input costs. With a moderate 23.4% top-3 concentration and $462M in AUM, the fund offers focused but not fragile exposure to the downstream energy complex. The 0.61% expense ratio is the cost of accessing a niche segment that is currently the market's momentum leader.

MPC Marathon Petroleum Corporation 8.9% of fund
Fundamental 6.9/10 Technical 5.0 Sentiment 62/100

Marathon Petroleum is the fund's anchor at 8.9% weight, pairing the strongest fundamental score in the group (6.9/10) with a constructive 62/100 sentiment reading. Its scale in US refining makes it the primary beneficiary of the margin environment driving CRAK's three-month rally.

PSX Phillips 66 6.9% of fund
Fundamental 5.9/10 Technical 5.0 Sentiment 54/100

Phillips 66 at 6.9% weight provides diversified downstream exposure with a 5.9/10 fundamental score and neutral 54/100 sentiment. Its midstream and chemicals adjacency adds earnings stability to the fund's refining beta.

DINO HF Sinclair Corporation 5.0% of fund
Fundamental 6.0/10 Technical 5.0 Sentiment 33/100

HF Sinclair at 5.0% weight is the contrarian component, with a 33/100 sentiment score suggesting the market has not yet fully priced its 6.0/10 fundamental profile. That sentiment gap represents potential catch-up upside within the fund.

Look-Through Holdings: Fundamental vs Technical
x = Fundamental Score · y = Technical Score · bubble size = fund weight
#2
EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ)
Broad Equities & Factors · Expense Ratio 0.59% · AUM $8.2B · Price $42.87
97
Composite Score
-0.3% 1W +13.5% 1M

EWZ scores 97.0/100 and is the clearest expression of rotation into non-US value, with a 13.47% one-month gain and 21.34% over three months. The marginal -0.3% one-week pullback after that run reads as consolidation, not reversal, within an elevated global risk appetite backdrop. At $8.2B in AUM with a 0.59% expense ratio, it remains the most liquid vehicle for Brazilian equity exposure. As a broad region fund, it captures Brazil's commodity-linked and financial sectors without single-stock concentration risk beyond its 26.2% top-3 weighting.

EWZ Direct Asset Exposure

This vehicle provides pure-play, direct commodity or asset exposure (spot physical reserves, currency, or near-term futures). Pricing tracks spot underlying asset dynamics without single-stock corporate management risk.

🪙
Direct Asset Exposure
EWZ holds physical or synthetic asset reserves rather than individual common stocks. Scoring is computed via pure asset momentum, relative strength, and volume confirmation.
#3
JEPQ JPMorgan NASDAQ Equity Premium Income ETF (JEPQ)
Defensive, Income & Fixed Income · Expense Ratio 0.35% · AUM $42.2B · Price $60.92
83
Composite Score
-0.5% 1W +3.1% 1M

JEPQ offers a defensive route into the technology-led expansion, pairing Nasdaq-100 exposure with an options-income overlay at a low 0.35% expense ratio. Its muted 3M return of 2.8% and -0.54% one-week move reflect the drag of covered calls in a rising tape, but that is precisely the trade-off income-oriented allocators accept. With $42.2B in AUM and an 83.4/100 Composite Score, it suits investors who want tech participation with cushioned volatility as XLK-style momentum wobbles. Notably, its top holdings carry analyst target upsides of 40-49%, giving the underlying equity sleeve meaningful appreciation potential on top of premium income.

GOOG Alphabet Inc Class C 4.8% of fund
Fundamental 6.0/10 Technical 7.0 Sentiment 60/100

Alphabet at 4.8% weight combines a 6.0/10 fundamental score with the best technical reading among JEPQ's top holdings (7.0) and 40.5% analyst target upside. Its 60/100 sentiment reflects balanced positioning that supports steady contribution to fund returns.

NVDA NVIDIA Corp 7.3% of fund
Fundamental 7.7/10 Technical 5.0 Sentiment 30/100

NVIDIA at 7.3% weight is the fund's largest single driver, with the strongest fundamental score in the coverage set (7.7/10) and 41.3% analyst target upside. Its depressed 30/100 sentiment score suggests positioning is washed out relative to fundamentals — a favorable setup for the fund's core holding.

META Meta Platforms Inc Class A 2.4% of fund
Fundamental 5.7/10 Technical 5.0 Sentiment 66/100

Meta at 2.4% weight offers the highest analyst target upside in the group at 49.0%, alongside a healthy 66/100 sentiment score. Even at a modest weight, its upside skew enhances the appreciation potential embedded in the fund's equity sleeve.

Look-Through Holdings: Fundamental vs Technical
x = Fundamental Score · y = Technical Score · bubble size = fund weight
#4
XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Tech, AI & Innovation · Expense Ratio 0.08% · AUM $121.8B · Price $196.28
80
Composite Score
-2.8% 1W +6.8% 1M ⚠️ High Concentration: Top 3 = 36.6%

XLK remains the purest expression of the technology leadership theme, up 6.82% over one month and 10.57% over three, but the -2.83% one-week decline flags near-term exhaustion in the sector that has led this expansion. At 0.08%, it is the cheapest fund in the set, and its $121.8B AUM makes it the institutional default for sector exposure. The 36.6% top-3 concentration is the key risk: performance hinges on a narrow cohort of mega-caps. With a 79.9/100 Composite Score, the fund is a hold-and-monitor rather than a fresh chase at current momentum levels.

MU Micron Technology, Inc. 3.6% of fund
Fundamental 8.2/10 Technical 0.0 Sentiment 55/100

Micron at 3.6% weight carries the highest fundamental score across all holdings in the coverage set (8.2/10) with 25.0% analyst target upside, but its 0.0 technical score signals severe near-term price deterioration. It is the clearest fundamental-versus-technical divergence in the fund — a potential recovery candidate if the technical picture stabilizes.

PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. 2.6% of fund
Fundamental 6.7/10 Technical 5.0 Sentiment 23/100

Palantir at 2.6% weight shows the weakest sentiment reading in the set at 23/100 despite a 6.7/10 fundamental score and 15.0% target upside. That pessimism gap makes it a contrarian lever within XLK's AI exposure.

APH Amphenol Corporation 1.4% of fund
Fundamental 5.2/10 Technical 7.0 Sentiment 64/100

Amphenol at 1.4% weight is the quiet stabilizer, with the strongest technical score among XLK's highlighted holdings (7.0) and a constructive 64/100 sentiment. Its connector and hardware exposure ties it to AI infrastructure buildout without the sentiment extremes of the fund's larger names.

Look-Through Holdings: Fundamental vs Technical
x = Fundamental Score · y = Technical Score · bubble size = fund weight
#5
PDBC Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Hard Assets, Metals & Mining · Expense Ratio 0.59% · AUM $7.4B · Price $19.98
75
Composite Score
+2.7% 1W -0.6% 1M ⚠️ High Concentration: Top 3 = 80.8%
PDBC Direct Asset Exposure

This vehicle provides pure-play, direct commodity or asset exposure (spot physical reserves, currency, or near-term futures). Pricing tracks spot underlying asset dynamics without single-stock corporate management risk.

🪙
Direct Asset Exposure
PDBC holds physical or synthetic asset reserves rather than individual common stocks. Scoring is computed via pure asset momentum, relative strength, and volume confirmation.
🏛️ Strategic Thematic Bucket Intelligence
⚡
Tech, AI & Innovation
13 Tracked Funds · Breadth: 77% >50SMA
⚠️ Distribution

Semiconductors, cloud software, artificial intelligence compute, and digital automation.

Avg 1-Week: -2.9% Avg 1-Month: +5.3%
👑 THEMATIC CHAMPION
XLK 80/100
State Street Technolog
1W: -2.8% 1M: +6.8%
🔻 RELATIVE LAGGARD
QTUM 41/100
QTUM
1W: -6.2% 1M: +3.4%
🪙
Hard Assets, Metals & Mining
10 Tracked Funds · Breadth: 10% >50SMA
⚠️ Distribution

Physical gold/silver bullion, precious metal miners, copper, and critical energy metals.

Avg 1-Week: -2.9% Avg 1-Month: -5.9%
👑 THEMATIC CHAMPION
PDBC 75/100
Invesco Optimum Yield
1W: +2.7% 1M: -0.6%
🔻 RELATIVE LAGGARD
URA 6/100
URA
1W: -10.6% 1M: -10.5%
🛢️
Energy, Midstream & Resources
12 Tracked Funds · Breadth: 50% >50SMA
⚡ Accumulation

Upstream exploration, oil refiners, midstream pipeline MLPs, and natural gas infrastructure.

Avg 1-Week: +2.1% Avg 1-Month: -0.5%
👑 THEMATIC CHAMPION
CRAK 98/100
VanEck Oil Refiners ET
1W: +4.0% 1M: +3.6%
🔻 RELATIVE LAGGARD
TAN 24/100
TAN
1W: -0.1% 1M: -1.6%
🏗️
Industrials, Cyclicals & Reshoring
10 Tracked Funds · Breadth: 0% >50SMA
⚠️ Distribution

Domestic manufacturing, defense contractors, transportation freight, and construction.

Avg 1-Week: -1.4% Avg 1-Month: -2.2%
👑 THEMATIC CHAMPION
IBUY 70/100
IBUY
1W: +3.7% 1M: +1.0%
🔻 RELATIVE LAGGARD
ITB 10/100
ITB
1W: -2.7% 1M: -5.0%
📈
Broad Equities & Factors
69 Tracked Funds · Breadth: 28% >50SMA
⚠️ Distribution

Core index benchmarks (S&P 500, Nasdaq, Russell) and strategic factor tilts (Momentum, Quality, Value).

Avg 1-Week: -1.4% Avg 1-Month: -0.4%
👑 THEMATIC CHAMPION
EWZ 97/100
iShares MSCI Brazil ET
1W: -0.3% 1M: +13.5%
🔻 RELATIVE LAGGARD
NLR 6/100
NLR
1W: -9.2% 1M: -8.2%
🛡️
Defensive, Income & Fixed Income
20 Tracked Funds · Breadth: 40% >50SMA
❄️ Consolidation

Non-cyclical staples, high-dividend yield, healthcare/biotech, and treasury duration.

Avg 1-Week: -0.3% Avg 1-Month: +0.5%
👑 THEMATIC CHAMPION
JEPQ 83/100
JPMorgan NASDAQ Equity
1W: -0.5% 1M: +3.1%
🔻 RELATIVE LAGGARD
KRE 10/100
KRE
1W: -1.4% 1M: -6.7%
📉
Tactical Hedging & Volatility
1 Tracked Funds · Breadth: 0% >50SMA
⚠️ Distribution

Short equity exposure, tail-risk hedges, and volatility spike instruments.

Avg 1-Week: -0.5% Avg 1-Month: -8.6%
👑 THEMATIC CHAMPION
VIXY 13/100
VIXY
1W: -0.5% 1M: -8.6%
🔻 RELATIVE LAGGARD
VIXY 13/100
VIXY
1W: -0.5% 1M: -8.6%
⏱ Market quotes delayed ≥ 15 min. Fundamental metrics and model rankings as of prior market close.
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